UMF Stjarnan vs Víkingur Reykjavík Soccer Prediction

This May 14, 2018 will take place in the Samsung Vollurinn an interesting match to be played between UMF Stjarnan and Víkingur Reykjavík at 2:15 p.m. Central Mexico.

To start with the analysis, it seems prudent to mention that both teams reach Day 3 with serious aspirations to overcome what was achieved last season, where we saw a very dominant squadron of Stjarnan and a very irregular set of Víkingur Reykjavík, so that this third game of the regular season is very important for both of them facing what will be the rest of the season. On the one hand, we have a local team that started by heating engines in the worst way, with only 1 point harvested at the moment and if you want to fight for the title again, or at least for positions of European competence, you are obliged to emerge victorious in this encounter. On the other hand, Víkingur started with the right foot beating one of the teams recently promoted and tied against defending champion Valur, however, his attack is not very lit with only 1 goal in 2 games.

As for the performance of the last 10 games they have played, UMF Stjarnan has an ERA of 21.67%, so we can see that the good results of last season have escaped and it seems that the local team is going through a important recessive phase, so it requires winning in today’s game to wake up from this nightmare. On the other hand, Víkingur Reykjavík has a percentage of effectiveness of 14.33%, which also indicates a very complicated situation for visitors, who need to continue improving so as not to put their stay at the Úrvalsdeild at risk.

For this game, the bookies give us the following odds:

– UMF Stjarnan: 1.72

– Draw: 3.75

– Víkingur Reykjavík: 4.00

As you can see, odds place the local team as a favorite, which seems strange considering the start of the season so loose of the local team, however, it seems natural to me that it is a favorite, because although it has not harvested more than 1 point, he has scored 4 goals in two games, so they only need to improve defensively against a team lacking goals like Víkingur and will surely win at home. Regarding my statistical study, I obtained the following percentages:

– UMF Stjarnan: 50.30%

– Draw: 31.30%

– Víkingur Reykjavík: 18.40%

As it can be noticed, the percentages that I have calculated according to my statistical study are inclined in favor of the Local as the most probable result with a very wide difference over the Draw, being the odds that I would expect for this match the following:

– UMF Stjarnan: 1.87

– Draw: 3.01

– Víkingur Reykjavík: 5.13

Before this calculation of quotas, the quota that reflects me value is the Draw, however, it is important to remember that the initial fee that bookies gave us for the place was even higher than 2.00, so we should not overlook the victory of the local team and even more, when they have had a goal and it is usually a very solid team, that of winning by a difference of two goals, it would be added to the great group of teams that at this beginning of the season seek to mark their positive trend. They hope to maintain to achieve the championship or with a position to compete internationally.

Prediction of the Day: UMF Stjarnan (1), 1X2 (Final result)
Odds: 1.72