Bosnia vs Italy Betting Odds and Predictions – Nations League 2020

Will Italy make it into the Final Four?

⚽️ Competition: Nations League
🔺 Date: 11/18/2020
🔻 Betting Prediction: Handicap: Victory away -1.5
🔺 Betting Odds: 2.05
🔻 Stake: 5/10 units

With a 2-0 win, the Italian national soccer team overtook Poland on Sunday evening and moved into first place in Group A1 of the UEFA Nations League. This means that Squadra Azzurra has the group win and the associated entry into the Final Four completely in their own hands.

With an away win at Bosnians, who arithmetically no longer have any chance of relegation, the result between Poland and the Netherlands in the parallel game would be completely irrelevant.

Because the Bosnians go into this home game with a weakened substitute, the odds of all bookmakers clearly move towards the Azzurri in the run-up to the game between Bosnia and Italy, as the odds comparison of the betting base below shows.

While Bosnia is in crisis and has not won any of the last seven international matches, Italy could hardly be better at the moment. The four-time world champion has now been unbeaten for 21 international matches in a row and has only conceded a single goal in the last six games in 14 of his own goals.

Against this background, it is very consistent to provide tip 2 with a small Asian handicap of -1.5 in Bosnia against Italy in order to increase the corresponding odds.

Bosnia – Statistics & current form

The Bosnian-Herzegovinian national team has been involved in UEFA and FIFA competitions as an independent national team since the early 1990s. While in 2014 it was even enough to take part in a World Cup finals, the first successful qualification for a European Championship is still pending, despite the highly talented players.

In the European Championship qualification 2021, the Zmajevi (in German: the dragons) ended up in fourth place in the group with today’s opponents Italy as well as Finland, Greece, Armenia and Liechtenstein. Even an away game at football dwarf Armenia was lost with a total of only four wins with 2: 4.

For seven international matches without a win

After Bosnia had scored ten out of twelve possible points in the first edition of the Nations League and had been promoted to League A ahead of Austria and Northern Ireland as winners of Group B3, this new step backwards came as a surprise.

As Nations League group winners, the Zmajevi also had the back door through the Nations League playoffs for EURO 2021. In the semifinals, however, Northern Ireland was eliminated on penalties. Now the crisis has been perfect since Sunday with the 3-1 defeat in the Netherlands.

The relegation has been sealed since Sunday

Not only did Bosnia and Herzegovina fail to win their seventh international match in a row, but Dušan Bajević’s men are now officially relegated from Nations League Group A1. The distance to the saving bank is five points, which can no longer be caught even with a home win against Italy.

The probable lineup of Bosnia:
➤ Sehic – Kolasinac – Sanicanin – Hadzikadunic – Todorovic – Cimirot – Gojak – Krunic – Pjanic – Visca – Prevljak

Last matches from Bosnia:

UEFA Nations League A Grp. 1
⚽️ 11/15 2020 Netherlands 3 – 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina
Friendly match
⚽️ 11/12 2020 Bosnia and Herzegovina 0 – 2 Iran
UEFA Nations League A Grp. 1
⚽️ 10/14 2020 Poland 3 – 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina
⚽️ 10/11 2020 Bosnia and Herzegovina 0 – 0 Netherlands
UEFA Nations League B Playoff
⚽️ 10/08 2020 Bosnia and Herzegovina (3) 1 – 1 (4) Northern Ireland

Italy – Statistics & current form

The Italian national soccer team recently experienced one of its blackest hours. In the run-up to the 2018 World Cup in Russia, the four-time world champion failed in the playoffs to Sweden and was therefore condemned to watch the finals.

The upheaval at the Azzurri was correspondingly great, but Roberto Mancini has now put them back on the road to success. Absolutely nothing burned in the Euro 2021 qualification. With ten wins from ten games and 37-4 goals, the Italians competed confidently to the European Championship finals, which will be fully attacked next summer.

Qualified for the Final Four with an away win

In parallel, Italy also played well in the Nations League. In the first edition it was only enough to place second behind the eventual overall winner Portugal. In the current edition of this tournament, the 2-0 victory over Poland brought the Squadra Azzurra into the perfect starting position.

With an away win at Bosnians, who also have to do without numerous cornerstones, the group win would be in the towel. In addition to participating in the European Championship, the Italians should also play for a title in the Final Four of the Nations League.

Not a single one of the last 21 international matches lost

In practically all parts of the team, it seems to be right again. As you are used to from Italian teams, the defence is once again extremely stable and conceded only one goal in the last six international matches. The offensive also lasted at will. 14 goals from the last six games are currently recorded.

Accordingly, it is quite possible to play tip 2 in Bosnia against Italy with an Asian handicap of -1.5. A comfortable win with two goals difference seems to be a matter of form in view of the series of 21 international matches in a row without defeat.

The probable lineup of Italy:
➤ Donnarumma – Palmieri – Bastoni – Acerbi – Florenzi – Locatelli – Jorginho – Barella – Insigne – Bernadeschi – Belotti

Last matches from Italy:

UEFA Nations League A Grp. 1
⚽️ 11/15 2020 Italy 2 – 0 Poland
Friendly match
⚽️ 11/11 2020 Italy 4 – 0 Estonia
UEFA Nations League A Grp. 1
⚽️ 10/14 2020 Italy 1 – 1 Netherlands
⚽️ 10/11 2020 Poland 0 – 0 Italy
Friendly match
⚽️ 10/07 2020 Italy 6 – 0 Moldova

Bosnia vs Italy – Direct comparison / H2H balance

Head to head: 1 – 1 – 2

Only four times were both teams to book and with two wins the Squadra Azzurra leads the direct comparison. Both successes go back to the Euro 2021 qualification, in which Italy confidently celebrated the group victory. The first leg in the Nations League ended on September 4 in Florence with a 1-1 draw.

Bosnia vs Italy betting odds compared

🔻 Betting Prediction: Bosnia
🔺 Betting Odds: 9
🔻 Betting Prediction: Draw
🔺 Betting Odds: 5
🔻 Betting Prediction: Italy
🔺 Betting Odds: 1.33

Bosnia vs Italy Betting Predictions and Odds

In the case of Bosnia versus Italy, the prediction is largely shaped by three factors. Firstly, it is the fact that the home side go into the match extremely weak and have to send their only fourth striker into the offensive with Smail Prevljak.

Second, the Zmajevi are no longer concerned with anything, since Bosnia has already relegated mathematically. And thirdly, there is the momentum of the Italians, who have not lost in 21 games and recently conceded only one goal from their last six international matches.

Key facts – Bosnia vs Italy tips

🔺 Bosnia has not won any of the last seven international matches
🔺 Italy have been unbeaten in 21 international matches
🔺 Italy have only conceded a single goal in their last six games

So absolutely nothing speaks in favor of another point win for the Bosnians. In view of the strong offensive of the Italians with their flawless defense, the Asian handicap of -1.5 seems attractive to us.