Al Ittihad vs Al Mokawloon- Soccer bet of the day

This Monday, January 22, 2018 will take place in Borg El Arab an interesting match between two teams that have completely opposite objectives. On the one hand, Al Ittihad is looking to come out of a soccer crisis that has him prostrate in 14th place with a high risk of descent, while Al Mokawloon, seeks to return to tone to fight for places that merit CAF Champions Cup. .
To begin with the analysis, it is important to note that the bookmakers have not placed any as favorite due to the impressive irregularity of the Egyptian League in general, however, I have decided to generate an analysis of this game since the league of Egypt is one of the most personal and I know in a general way the game of each team.
In addition, I have conducted a statistical study of the performance that both squads have handled over the last 10 meetings that have played each of them and a more general analysis of their performance from 2012 to date, where the percentages were as follows :

– Al Ittihad: 30.42%
– Draw: 42.73%
– Al Mokawloon: 26.86%

In this way, I can find value in the bet in favor of the tie, since according to Unibet, the associated probability that the house gives to this result is of 32.26%, and therefore, it gives us an overvalued quota, to the less according to the method of statistical analysis I use, which has a certain logic because although Al Mokawloon has better performance in the last 10 games than Al Ittihad, his irregularity is evident after his defeat as a visitor to El Raja.

Prediction Today: Draw (X), 1X2 (Final result)
Odds: 3.1