The Lisbon weeks go on, with the return match in the Taca de Portugal 2019 semi-final, where the third Derby de Lisboa takes place within just two months. The spoiled by success Adler (port Águias) are clearly in the advantage. The 36-time Portuguese national champion not only leads the table in the Primeira Liga tied with defending champion FC Porto, but the Encarnados have also won the first leg at home in the Estádio da Luz 2-1. But the starting point for the Lions (port Leões), who now have their own supporters in the Estádio José Alvalade, is not bad at all. Due to the away goal, the Verde e brancos already have a 1-0 win at home to make it to the Taca de Portugal final, which is likely to go against FC Porto. Realistically, this is the last remaining title opportunity for the lions, which have won in addition to the rather insignificant League Cup (victory on penalties against FC Porto) since 2015 at the national level nothing more, which is why Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon, according to odds of bookmakers also in the Outsider role is.
Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon Football Betting Prediction
For the team of Marcel Keizer still speaks the latest series. The four last games in the Primeira League were all won, which Sporting regained third place of Braga on the weekend. With 13 points ahead of fifth place is also relatively safe with a renewed season in the Europa League plan, so the focus can now be fully on the cup. At Sporting Lisbon vs. Benfica Lisbon also plays a role in the prediction that the Leões are the strongest team in Portugal and only lost one match in their own stadium with 12 wins out of 14 games. This, however, against the city rivals, who in this return leg in the end even the draw for the final would be enough. Due to the volatile starting position, it is a tip at Sporting Lisbon against Benfica Lisbon that it will be at least halftime, which in our eyes is the best possible option.
If Sporting Lisbon can not bend the 1: 2 away defeat from the first leg, the season would have gone well for the Leões. From the Europa League, the 22-time national champion has said goodbye despite a respectable performance at Villarreal CF in the sixteenth finals. Eleven games are still open in the Primeira Liga, but with eight points behind Porto and Benfica, there is not much to be had in terms of championship titles. Because places three and four both go into the qualifying rounds of the Europa League and the lead on rank five is 13 points, neither should burn up nor down much. In short: The Taca de Portugal is the supposedly last chance of the season for the Verde e brancos to make even an exclamation point.
“If we play with a lot of energy and pressure, we can reach the finish and move into the final. […] Sporting never gives up! ” – Marcel Keizer at Sporting TV
Although there was already a mini-exclamation point in January, as the big FC Porto was forced to a 3-1 penalty shoot-out in the final of the Taca da Liga to their knees, which Sporting successfully defended the title. However, the League Cup does not enjoy too good a reputation in Portugal, which is why this is to be considered as a maximum success. Nevertheless, at Sporting Lisbon vs. Benfica Lisbon is a tip that the Leões get shot against their city rivals again, by no means out of thin air. Finally, Marcel Keizer’s team is at number one home table in the top Portuguese league. Twelve wins from 14 games are each a draw and a defeat to book. The fact that the lions are still not playing for the championship, is rather due to the away performance, which looks poor with only six wins from 13 games. With momentum from four consecutive wins and seven consecutive games without a defeat since the 2-4 home defeat by Benfica, things could go wrong. In addition, the former Wolfsburg Bas Dost has survived his knee injury and could be an option for the derby again …
Expected formation of Sporting Lisbon:
➾ Ribeiro – Borja – Matthieu – Coates – Ristovski – Gudelj – Wendel – Fernandes – Acuna – Raphael – Phellype
Last matches of Sporting Lisbon:
⚽ 30.03.2019 – GD Chaves vs. Sporting Lisbon 1: 3 (Primeira Liga)
⚽ 15.03.2019 – Sporting Lisbon vs. Santa Clara 1-0 (Primeira Liga)
⚽ 09.03.2019 – Boavista Vs. Sporting Lisbon 1: 2 (Primeira Liga)
⚽ 03.03.2019 – Sporting Lisbon Vs. Portimonense 3: 1 (Primeira Liga)
⚽ 25.02.2019 – Marítimo Funchal vs. Sporting Lisbon 0: 0 (Primeira Liga)
A self-run will definitely not be the away game in the city rivals for the Glorioso, although Benfica Lisbon certainly does not need to hide as the reigning championship leader in the Portuguese Primeira Liga. The dress rehearsal on the weekend was also successful with a 1-0 win, in which the Águias have played in the third consecutive game to zero and Porto could continue to keep a distance. Speaking of Porto: The defending champion Benfica celebrated just a month ago, a major 2-1 away win, by the championship in the first time turned back in the direction of the 36-time record champion. In addition, Benfica’s great performances in the Europa League, in which Galatasaray and Dinamo Zagreb two respectable opponents could be withdrawn from the market before it will continue in a week against Eintracht Frankfurt in the quarterfinals. Also in this duel the Portuguese eagles will go with valid chances to progress.
Before that, it’s time to tackle the next two away games. First, the team of Bruno Lage for the Estádio José Alvalade XXI at least keep the draw. The coach came in early January for the surprisingly dismissed Rui Vitória, who had a single 0-2 away defeat at Underdog Portimonense SC. Since then, the Eagles lost only the semifinals in the Taca da Liga at national level with 1: 3 against FC Porto, while all other games were successful. Especially abroad, the Encarnados shone one by one and drove in addition to the 2-1 at Porto and the 4-2 at Sporting. This results in the first place in the away table at a sensational yield of 34 out of 42 possible points in the distance. No wonder that at Sporting Lisbon vs. Benfica Lisbon turned the bookmakers’ odds clearly towards the Águias, who were able to win the Taca de Portugal two years ago.
Expected formation of Benfica Lisbon:
➾ Vlachodimos – Grimaldo – Ferro – Slides – Almeida – Fejsa – Florentino – Silva – Pizzi – Félix – Seferovic
Last matches of Benfica Lisbon:
⚽ 30.03.2019 – Benfica vs CD Tondela 1: 0 (Primeira Liga)
⚽ 17.03.2019 – Moreirense Vs. Benfica Lisbon 0: 4 (Primeira Liga)
⚽ 14.03.2019 – Benfica vs Dinamo Zagreb 3: 0 (Europa League)
⚽ 11.03.2019 – Benfica vs Belenenses Lisbon 2: 2 (Primeira Liga)
⚽ 07.03.2019 – Dinamo Zagreb Vs. Benfica Lisbon 1: 0 (Europa League)
Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon Direct Comparison
Head to head: 108 – 65 – 132
The Lisbon city derby alone has played 295 times in competitive matches. No wonder that this duel between two teams, bringing it together to 58 championships, 42 Cup wins and three European Cup wins, is considered as controversial. Known as Dérbi de Lisboa, Dérbi Eterno, Dérbi dos Dérbis, Dérbi da Segunda Circular or even Dérbi da Capital, the game is considered one of the most important city derbies in Europe. The Encarnados lead with a total of 132 games won and sat at the beginning of February within three days just twice again against Sporting CP. A 4-2 away win in the Primeira Liga was followed by a 2-1 home win in the first leg of the Taca de Portugal 2019, which the Leões now aim to draw with their home form.
Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon Our Betting Prediction Explained
At Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon, the starting position must be taken into account in the prediction. This means that the home side necessarily need a goal, but already with a 1-0 made the entry into the final. The Eagles, on the other hand, would force their city rivals with an away goal to have reached only one extension even with two own hits. If another away goal succeeds, the Leões will even need four goals to progress.
Key Facts – Sporting Lisbon vs. Benfica Lisbon tips
➾ Benfica won the first leg 2-1 at home
➾ Sporting Lisbon is the strongest team in Portugal (12 wins from 14 home matches)
➾ Benfica is especially dangerous in the distance (34 out of 42 possible)
Exactly those starting position argues that both teams absolutely want to prevent a goal. We therefore assume defensive basic orders and routes in this Derby de Lisboa, with a goal immediately triggering a corresponding backlash. The tip on under 2.5 goals in the regular game time, which would be obvious, seems to us a bit too daring. Instead, we decide on Sporting Lisbon vs. Benfica Lisbon for the tip on a restrained start. We bet that it will be a halftime draw before Sporting has to push for the decision in the second round.
Betting Prediction: X (1st HT)