Lille vs Montpellier Betting Prediction
Lille have ten matches still to play in the league this season and a lot to prove if they want to avoid relegation. Their five-game form (D2, L3) is not a strong credential against a Montpellier side who’ve lost only one match from their last 12 away games.
At Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille perform better in the second-half and also score more in the second-half (81% of total) – 12 of their 16 home goals came in the last half hour.
Montpellier’s defence tend to play very tight when on the road; 54% of their away matches in Ligue 1 (L1) ended with a clean sheet. 24-year-old defender Ruben Aguilar’s form might be one of the reasons – he has been nominated ‘Player of the Month’ for the third time this season by the club’s supporters.
In all 14 matches played at home, Christophe Galtier’s team has conceded the lead with ten goals. That will be a welcome statistic for Michel Der Zakarian’s side, given that away teams have scored first in 43% of all games played at Lille’s ground.
Curiously, Montpellier have accrued more points playing on the road (18) than their opponents have been able to do in their own stadium. Lille’s campaign at home (W4, D4, L6) has compounded their efforts, leaving them dangling in 19th position.
Betting Tips Players : There will be an interesting duel between two strikers from the Ivory Coast: Lille’s Nicolas Pépé and Montpellier’s Giovanni Sio. Both are top scorers of their respective clubs and Pépé has scored a total of eight goals – three in Lille’s last four games – whereas Sio has met the opposite net seven times this season.
Betting Tips Strategy: Lille last five home L1 games have all produced over 2.5 goals, whereas four of Montpellier’s last five away matches ended with a score under 2.5 goals.
Lille have conceded goals in all of their last eight matches.
Betting Tips: under 2.5 goals