The experts are certain: In Group J of the qualification for the European Championship 2020, Italy will win without any problems. In a group with Greece, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Finland, Albania, Armenia and Liechtenstein, the Suadra Azzurra underlined this assumption so far and has already made two home victories. Now the Italians have to compete in Greece. For their part, the Hellenes have also started well in qualifying and are currently in second place right behind Italy.
Greece vs Italy Football betting Prediction
Against the heaviest chunk of this group, the Greeks do not want to lose at home, because the goal of the European Champion of 2004 is clear: second place in the squadron and thus again the qualification for a big tournament, after neither 2016 for the European Championships in France could still qualify for the 2018 World Cup in Russia. But even if the ambitions of the home side are great: In the game between Greece and Italy, the prediction goes to a tip on the Squadra Azzurra.
Due to the missed participation in the 2018 World Cup in Russia, Greece played in the past calendar year in addition to three friendly matches only the games in the UEFA Nations League. In a group with Finland, Hungary and Estonia, it was only enough for the Greeks to third place. As the best group Knights secured Greece’s whereabouts in league C. A closer look at the total of nine caps last year reveals a curiosity: defeat and victory alternated. This continued in the first game of the new year, which Greece won 2-0 in the qualification for the European Championships in Liechtenstein.
The last time that the Greeks could win two games in a row was in October 2017. Since then, every second game has not been won – six defeats, one draw. After the bill, Greece should not win on Saturday against Italy. The Hellenes are still undefeated in qualifying for the European Championship in 2020, because the victory in Liechtenstein was followed by Greece a considerable 2: 2 at home strong Bosnians. Thus, the Greeks compete against Italy now their first home game in the qualification. And in their own country, the last games were one thing above all: Torarm! In the last five home games of the Greeks fell once no goal and four times only a single hit. In seven of the last eight home games of Greece met at most one team. In fact, scored in ten of eleven games between November 2017 and March 2019, only one team scored when the Greeks were on the lawn.
That changed only in the last two games in Bosnia and in the test in Turkey at the end of May (1: 2). On Saturday Angelos Anastasiadis puts his hopes on Konstantinos Fortounis. The offensive player was both against Liechtenstein and against Bosnia in the scorer list. The bookmakers certainly have a clear opinion. In the match between Greece and Italy, Hellenes’ odds are more than double the odds of betting on away wins.
Expected formation of Greece:
➤ Vlachodimos; Sokratis, Manolas, Siovas; Stafylidis, Samaris, Bouchalakis, Koutris; Zeca, Fortounis, Donis
Last matches of Greece:
⚽️ 30.05.2019 – Turkey vs. Greece 2: 1 (friendly)
⚽️ 26.03.2019 – Bosnia vs. Bosnia Greece 2: 2 (European Championship Qualification)
⚽️ 23.03.2019 – Liechtenstein vs Greece 0: 2 (European Championship Qualification)
⚽️ 18.11.2018 – Greece vs. Estonia 0: 1 (Nations League)
⚽️ 15.11.2018 – Greece vs. Finland 1: 0 (Nations League)
A World Cup without Italy – this was indeed the case last year. The shock over the missed World Cup sat at the Squadra Azzurra apparently quite low, because after the end of the playoff against Sweden, there was only one victory in eight internationals. It was not until the middle of the UEFA Nations League that the Italian team had a jolt that only scored one point in the first two games against Poland and Portugal. With the 1-0 victory in the second leg in Poland, Italy not only secured the whereabouts in League A of the Nations League, since this game works again, what the Italian football is so well known: The defensive work. Italy have not conceded a goal in the last five games.
What Italy is well known for are the minimalist results. Between 02/09/2017 and 20/11/2018 Italy scored only once in 17 (!) International matches two goals. Otherwise there was only one or none. It was only at the start of the qualification for the European Championship in 2020 that the Squadra Azzurra scored twice against Finland and later also defeated Liechtenstein 6: 0. In both games coach Roberto Mancini played with three strikers, with only young star Moise Kean in both matches in the starting lineup and thanked each with a goal in both games. Overall, there have been six different scorers for the eight goals scored in the first two matchdays.
The shooting competition against Liechtenstein once excluded fell in the last eight games with participation of the Italians never more than two goals. Accordingly, in the game of Greece against Italy bet on under 2.5 goals. But the odds are extremely low. If the Squadra Azzura can keep the box tight this time, then in Athens it could be a typical 1-0 for the country with the shape of a boot. In the game of Italy in Greece, the odds for a tip on the team of Roberto Mancini certainly be presentable.
Expected formation of Italy:
➤ Sirigu; De Sciglio, Bonucci, Chiellini, Biraghi; Verratti, Jorginho, Pellegrini; Kean, Immobile, Bernandeschi
Last matches of Italy:
⚽️ 26.03.2019 – Italy vs Liechtenstein 6: 0 (European Championship Qualification)
⚽️ 23.03.2019 – Italy vs Finland 2: 0 (European Championship Qualification)
⚽️ 20.11.2018 – Italy vs USA 1: 0 (friendly)
⚽️ 17.11.2018 – Italy vs Portugal 0: 0 (Nations League)
⚽️ 14.10.2018 – Poland vs. Italy 0: 1 (Nations League)
Greece vs Italy Direct Comparison
At least nine matches have come to these two nations and the very first in 1972 Greece could win 2-1. That was the only victory. Elsewhere, there were five Italian victories and three draws, all with a 17: 6 goal difference for the Squadra Azzurra. The last meeting (1: 1), however, is almost eleven years ago. The last one in turn is almost 33 years back.
Greece vs Italy Best Betting Prediction Explained
The Greeks were pleasantly surprised in Bosnia-Herzegovina, but also benefited from a double penalty for the hosts in the 64th minute in the form of a penalty and a red card. Until then, the Bosnians had the game largely under control. With Italy now comes the heaviest chunk of the group in the capital and against it needs a very good day to take something countable.
Key Facts – Greece vs Italy tips
🔻Greece started the qualifiers with a win in Liechtenstein and a draw in Bosnia
🔻Italy won against Finland and Liechtenstein on the first two matchdays
🔻Italy have been without conceding for five international matches
A shooter festival should not necessarily be expected in Athens. In their last home game, which took place in November 2018, Greece lost 1-0 to Estonia. A similar result could also be made against the much stronger Italy on Saturday. After weighing all the alternatives in the match between Greece and Italy, the best bet is odds of up to 1.95 on away wins.
Betting Prediction: 2