Brighton vs. Derby Betting Tips 16/02/2019

Brighton vs. Derby Betting Tips 16/02/2019

In the third round Derby County had to make a trip to the English south coast. At that time with success, as in the replay Southampton could be eliminated on penalties. Now with Brighton & Hove Albion another Premier League club awaits as opponent of Frank Lampard’s Rams. The Seagulls are in the league in the earnings crisis, but could reach the quarter-finals in the FA Cup for the fourth time only after 1983, 1986 and 2018. Derby County last reached the quarter-finals 20 years ago. Since then, the Rams has been knocked out four times in Round 5 (2007, 2009, 2010, 2015).

Today’s Betting Tips Brighton vs. Derby

Unlike Brighton, who have never won the FA Cup, two-time English champions Derby County celebrated their only cup victory in 1946. Since the two coaches Chris Hughton and Frank Lampard were much more successful player times. Chelsea legend Lampard won the FA Cup four times with the blues. Former Irish international Hughton won the cup twice with Tottenham in the early 1980s. At the start of the FA Cup Saturday, live at BT Sport and Dazn, Brighton vs. Derby County is, according to odds, the bookmaker favorite for a progress. This goes hand in hand with our prediction.

Brighton – Statistics & Current Form

Two months ago, Brighton was carefree in the Premier League, ten points ahead of Burnley, who is currently in the relegation zone. Burnley won 3-1 at the Amex Stadium last Saturday, scoring point-to-point with the Seagulls. The lead on the relegation zone is as fifteenth only three counters. The numbers do not read well for Chris Hughton’s men. Brighton won just one of the past eleven Premier League games (1-3-7), having five wins in eight league games before that negative series (5-1-2). Was Fortuna two months ago on the side of the Seagulls, when there was a defeat against Crystal Palace, Brighton currently missing just this game luck. Against Burnley, Brighton actually showed a superb home game, 68 percent possession of the ball, 16 shots (six of them on goal), but always Clarets goalkeeper Tom Heaton stood in the way efforts. In addition, the Seagulls got against Burnley already the eighth penalty in this season whistled against (Premier League high).

But also the best are the own standard situations (without penalties). After a dormant ball Brighton already met twelve times, only front-runner Liverpool (16) scored more standard goals. In the past 28 Premier League games, there were 43 goals conceded. The Seagulls were only five times without a goal. Despite the current weakness, Brighton is home strong. 48 of the 67 Premier League points have been retracted since the rise in the domestic Amex (71.6 percent). That’s why Brighton v Derby County is home to Seagull’s home win. The lack of results can also be justified with the Torflaute of Oldie Glenn Murray. Although the 35-year-old is by far the most goal-scoring player (ten goals), but hit the warhorse in only one of his past eleven Premier League appearances (double against Fulham). In the FA Cup Murray met four times in five FA Cup games in the past two seasons, although the striker played in none of these games from the start and got a total of only 67 minutes of deployment time. If Murray scores on Saturday, the odds are that Brighton vs. Derby County will prove our prediction with a tip for a home win. Florin Andone has a red-lock, Solly March is broken in question.

Best goalscorers in the Premier League:

  • 10 goals: Glenn Murray
  • 5 goals: Shane Duffy
  • 2 goals: Pascal Gross

Expected formation of Brighton:

  • Button; Bong, Duffy, Dunk, Bruno; Stephens, Pröpper, Great; Locadia, Murray, Jahanbakhsh
  • Coach: Chris Hughton

Last matches from Brighton:

  • 09.02.2019 – Brighton & Hove Albion Vs. Burnley 1: 3 (Premier League)
  • 06.02.2019 – West Bromwich Albion Vs. Brighton & Hove Albion 1: 3 (FA Cup)
  • 02.02.2019 – Brighton & Hove Albion Vs. Watford 0: 0 (Premier League)
  • 29.01.2019 – Fulham vs. Brighton & Hove Albion 4: 2 (Premier League)
  • 26.01.2019 – Brighton & Hove Albion Vs. West Bromwich Albion 0: 0 (FA Cup)

Derby County – Statistics & Current Form

Since 1 December, the coaching rookie Frank Lampard’s Rams have suffered only two defeats in 12 championship games (5-5-2). In Derby’s table, however, something comes out on the spot. With 45 points still to be awarded in the remaining 15 games until May, with nine points remaining (and one less game), direct promotion is possible. The playoff places are within reach. Only the four goals worse goal difference separates Lampard & Co. currently from at least two additional games at the end of the season. But Derby is a bit lacking the consistency to then actually play for the rise can. The 51 points after 31 games mean seven fewer than in the previous season. There was only one victory in the last five games (1-2-2). In addition, Derby remained in the calendar year of 2019 in two of the three games so far in the stranger without own hit and scored twice only on opponent’s case.

In the two FA Cup away games Derby scored three goals and scored twelve times on the opponent’s case. During the week, when they defeated 1-1 against the defeated bottom line Ipswich jumped in five shots only one hit out. This point is far too little in the promotion race for the ambitious Rams. The day’s hit from Rams’s point of view was succeeded by Tom Lawrence, who broke through his ten-match drought without scoring a goal after beating Southampton 2-2 in the FA Cup. Interestingly, all five derby goals in this FA Cup season fell in the second half – three of them in the last 15 minutes. Thus, the Rams are in their second trip to the English south coast in this cup season again not a favorite. That did not stop Derby from overthrowing the Saints. This time at Brighton vs Derby County, the odds speak again for the Premier League club. For us too, the prediction for a tip tends to win the Seagulls home. Andy King is not eligible to play in the cup.

Best scorers in the championship:

  • 10 goals: Harry Wilson
  • 7 goals: Jack Marriott
  • 5 goals: Tom Lawrence

Expected formation of Derby County:

  • Roos; Cole, Keogh, Tomori, Bogle; Huddlestone, Bryson; Lawrence, Holmes, Wilson; Waghorn
  • Coach: Frank Lampard

Last matches from Derby County:

  • 13.02.2019 – Ipswich Town Vs. Derby County 1: 1 (Championship)
  • 09.02.2019 – Derby County Vs. Hull 2: 0 (Championship)
  • 01.02.2019 – Preston North End vs. Derby County 0: 0 (Championship)
  • 26.01.2019 – Accrington Stanley vs. Derby County 0: 1 (FA Cup)
  • 19.01.2019 – Derby County Vs. Reading 2: 1 (Championship)

Brighton vs. Derby County Direct Comparison & Statistics Highlights

Head-to-Head: 20 victories Derby County – 7 draws – 15 victories Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton has been unbeaten in five competitive games against Derby County (2-3-0). The last match in the championship in March 2017 went 3-0 to the Seagulls. The last success of the Rams is dated December 2014. Brighton and Derby meet for the third time in the FA Cup. In 1946 the Rams won both duels in round 5 (6: 0, 4: 1). In January 1961, there was a 3-1 victory of the Seagulls in Round 3 against Derby.

Brighton vs. Derby County Football Betting Tips Analyzed

A formidable Premier League club awaits a promotion aspirant from the championship. Actually perfect sign for a surprise. But although Brighton could win just one of the past eleven league games, the team played especially in the recent home game against Burnley bad. Derby, in turn, has problems winning games, especially in foreign countries. Accordingly, at Brighton vs. Derby County, our prediction would suggest a tip on Seagull’s home win.

Key Facts – Brighton vs Derby County Tips

Brighton only won one of the past eleven Premier League games (1-3-7)
Brighton could move into the FA Cup quarter-finals for the fourth time
Derby County last reached the quarter-final in 1999 in the FA Cup

Chris Hughton will send a strong team into the race to reach the quarter-finals, as he did last season. For Derby the promotion race is more important than a success in the cup. Accordingly, it is not certain that Rams coach Lampard will bring the first team in Brighton. That’s why we would recommend a tip on the home team at Brighton vs Derby County.

Betting Tips: 1
Odds: 1.83

About Sebastian Grey