Azerbaijan vs Montenegro Betting Odds and Predictions - Nations League 2020

Azerbaijan vs Montenegro Betting Odds and Predictions – Nations League 2020

Will Montenegro keep the chance of winning the group alive?

⚽️ Competition: Nations League
🔺 Date: 11/14/2020
🔻 Betting Prediction: Montenegro
🔺 Betting Odds: 2.3
🔻 Stake: 5/10 units

The insignificant friendlies of the European national teams were played on Wednesday and Thursday, on Saturday the next competitive games are on the program. In the UEFA Nations League, the penultimate matchday will take place, the decisive phase begins. In the duel between Azerbaijan and Montenegro, the home side is fighting against relegation, while the guests are still flirting with the group victory.

Due to the ongoing political conflicts in Azerbaijan, the home side has to waive their home rights, the venue for the game in Nations League C Group 1 is the Croatian city of Zapresic.

Azerbaijan is not yet sure of remaining in Nations League C, but with a three-point lead and the direct comparison with Cyprus, a lot speaks for the home side. The guests from Montenegro were the big favourites this season, but currently have the hunter role, because Underdog Luxemburg leads the current table of the Nations League.

Montenegro has to do its homework itself and then hope that Luxembourg will fall over. The best bookmakers offer odds of over 2.30 for the victory of the guests between Azerbaijan and Montenegro early on Saturday evening.

Azerbaijan – Statistics & Current Form

Geographically speaking, the country is in Asia, but Azerbaijan has been a member of UEFA since independence. In terms of sport, the current number 114 in the FIFA world rankings is more of a marginal phenomenon; the team has never qualified for a major event. The association has been building on the expertise of foreign trainers for many years. With Berti Vogts, Robert Prosinecki and Nikola Jurcevic, well-known coaches were active in Azerbaijan.

A team without legionnaires

However, the development work is only partially bearing fruit, as there have not been more than a few surprises up to now. A major drawback is certainly the fact that all the players from the current national team are under contract at home. Qarabag Agdam has already attracted international attention, but on the whole, the quality at home is manageable.

Well-known names in the Azerbaijan squad are not to be found. Basically, the national team of Azerbaijan is a selection of players from Qarabag Agdam who are reinforced with one or the other player.

Goals are few and far between

If you look at the latest results of the national team you can see that most of the game takes place between the two penalty areas and hits are the exception. In seven of the last eight international matches with participation from Azerbaijan, the bet on an under 2.5 was crowned with success. In this respect, it is not surprising that in the betting base comparison of odds between Azerbaijan and Montenegro only odds of around 1.50 can be found for this tip. Another possibility is a bet that both teams will not score, which was last done in seven of the eight international matches.

The probable lineup of Azerbaijan:
➤ Mahammadaljev – Kryvotsiuk, Badalov, Mustafazada, Hüseynov – Mustafayev, Qarayev – Salahly, Sadyhkov, Ibrahimli – Sheydaev

Last matches from Azerbaijan:

Friendly match
⚽️ 11/11 2020 Slovenia 0 – 0 Azerbaijan
UEFA Nations League C Grp. 1
⚽️ 10/13 2020 Azerbaijan 0 – 0 Cyprus
⚽️ 10/10 2020 Montenegro 2 – 0 Azerbaijan
⚽️ 09/08 2020 Cyprus 0 – 1 Azerbaijan
⚽️ 09/05 2020 Azerbaijan 1 – 2 Luxembourg

Montenegro – Statistics & current form

Montenegro has been acting as an independent state for almost 13 years and has been able to quietly dream of participating in a major event at one point or another. In the recent past, however, the development has by no means been satisfactory.

In qualifying for the postponed European Championship, Montenegro not only took the last place in the group but also suffered the highest defeat in history with a 7-0 defeat against England.

Home defeat puts Montenegro behind

The Bosnian Faruk Hadzibegic has been the head coach since July 2019 and was a big favourite with his team in the current Nations League group. Luxembourg and Azerbaijan, which only rose from League D thanks to the increase, and Cyprus should not be a problem. But with two laps to go, it is not Montenegro that greets from the top of the table, but Luxembourg.

Four weeks ago, Montenegro received a completely surprising 2-1 home defeat against Luxembourg and lost the direct comparison. If Luxembourg wins both games these days, Montenegro will no longer have a chance of the first place in Group 1.

The defensive is the showpiece

However, this also means: should Montenegro lose and Luxembourg win at the same time, the chance of winning the group would also be gone. Accordingly, it becomes difficult for guests to find the right balance. Basically, Montenegro is a team that acts from a very stable defensive position, with Atletico player Stefan Savic the big star in central defence is at home.

In the offensive game, hopes rest on another veteran, Stevan Jovetic. The striker has had a lot of bad luck with injuries in recent years but is currently in top shape. With 24 goals, he is the national team’s record scorer.

However, many goals are rarely seen in Montenegro. Since the aforementioned, historic 0: 7 bankruptcy against England, the bet on an under 2.5 was the right choice in six of the seven games.

The probable lineup of Montenegro:
➤ Mijatovic – Radunovic, Savic, Bulatovic, Raspopovic – Vukcevic – Haksabanovic, Jovetic, Kosovic, Ivanovic – Islamovic

Last matches from Montenegro:

Friendly match
⚽️ 11/11 2020 Montenegro 0 – 0 Kazakhstan
UEFA Nations League C Grp. 1
⚽️ 10/13 2020 Montenegro 1 – 2 Luxembourg
⚽️ 10/10 2020 Montenegro 2 – 0 Azerbaijan
Friendly match
⚽️ 10/07 2020 Montenegro 1 – 1 Latvia
UEFA Nations League C Grp. 1
⚽️ 09/08 2020 Luxembourg 0 – 1 Montenegro

 

Azerbaijan vs Montenegro – Direct comparison / H2H balance

The first duel between the two national teams took place ten years ago when Montenegro prevailed 2-0 in a friendly game at home. In the first competitive game between the two teams around four weeks ago, the result was identical. Montenegro celebrated a 2-0 home win thanks to goals from Stevan Jovetic and Igor Ivanovic.

Azerbaijan vs Montenegro betting odds compared

🔻 Betting Prediction: Azerbaijan
🔺 Betting Odds: 3.5
🔻 Betting Prediction: Draw
🔺 Betting Odds: 3.1
🔻 Betting Prediction: Montenegro
🔺 Betting Odds: 2.2

Azerbaijan vs Montenegro Betting Odds and Predictions

Azerbaijan has not won a home game since November 2018, but the team has always proven to be an unpleasant opponent, especially at home. The team is certainly a bit weaker abroad, so the postponement of the game is certainly not an advantage. In addition, the relevance of the game is significantly higher for the guests from Montenegro, due to the chance of winning the group.

Key facts – Azerbaijan vs Montenegro tips

🔺 Seven of the last eight Azerbaijan internationals have ended with an under 2.5 and goals from a maximum of one team
🔺 Montenegro won both previous games 2-0
🔺 A draw could not be enough for Montenegro

The stronger squad, no home advantage on both sides and the chance of winning the group – Montenegro should actually be the clear favourite in a neutral position. All the more surprising is the fact that between Azerbaijan and Montenegro odds of up to 2.30 are offered on the guests. Since both teams score few goals, there is a risk of a draw, but the value of the tip for the Montenegrin victory cannot be dismissed out of hand. The recommendation for this bet is a stake of five units.